Why would the USA attack Iran?
Who benefits? The Truth must out!
Last month President Trump’s transferred the USS carrier Abraham Lincoln and accompanying destroyers to the Arabian Sea, claiming Iran’s nuclear enrichment program was a threat to peace in the middle east. Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi stated, “Their military deployment in the region does not scare us.”
Iran called on Trump to “respect” Iran saying Iran does not understand the language of force. Iran’s President Pezeshkian claimed Iran has the right to continue uranium enrichment under the Non-Proliferation Treaty. The Iranian civil leader diplomatically described talks held in Oman last Friday as a “step forward” and said Iran, ‘favours dialogue.’ This is a wise and pragmatic reaction from Iran to Trump’s unprovoked aggression. Agreeing to talk, being reasonable in the face of US military dominance might take some of the wind out of America’s sails. The US ships have not entered the Arabian Gulf or passed through the straits of Hormuz. This would make them vulnerable to Iranian missiles, mines and small boat attacks and of course, create an escalation into full military conflict.
Iran is not directly threatening the USA or its financial interests in the middle east. Iran does have a long ongoing enmity with Israel, but one might would question whether defending Israel is a good reason to move a Carrier Group to threaten Iran. There is no evidence Iran’s nuclear fuel enrichment program has advanced recently and even if it had, it is still a long way from creating a nuclear device, testing it, reducing it, and placing it on a delivery system pointed at an enemy.
Like most political and military actions under the Trump regime there is rarely any truth or substance in the reasoning. One has to try to get to the foundations of his actions and ask who benefits and how?
A person only becomes President of the USA if they are supported with billions of dollars. These donations are not acts of generosity; they are bargaining tools. The investors expect a return. So why Trump? First, he is amoral, selfish, and ruthless, he will do and has done, what no other US leader would ever do, not only for himself but for his investors.
We might reasonably conclude profit is the aim. Remove, banking, environmental, and economic restrictions and ‘drill baby drill.’ Quid pro quo, you give me I give you and screw the people. This all seemed quite obvious during Trump’s first term as President.
Now though, there is very little logic to his actions unless we look beyond his outrageous daily distractions and search deeper for his motivation and the motivations of his ‘investors.’
The threat of military action against Iran is an enormous distraction, which combined with ICE paramilitaries murdering people in US cities, Trump claiming the USA will become a Christian religious state in 2026, threatening to annex Greenland, threatening Canada, kidnapping President Maduro of Venezuela and siding with Russia against Ukraine build a convincing picture of chaos. These are all part of a deliberate strategy. World leaders have struggled to concentrate and deal with each single issue as new ones replace them daily. It has been claimed huge profits can be made from such chaos, but chaos is risky, even to the super rich. If society collapses along with law and order, then civil or international war will be the result. In such circumstances no one is safe.
What is it that Trump and his backers are truly concerned about, so concerned that they would risk or start a war?
I would argue, a large part of this chaos is created to suppress the full extent of the Epstein files. Trump’s primary purpose in his second term is to prevent the exposure of the many influential world leaders and money barons who participated in the depravities available to them on Epstein’s island, the blackmail that resulted, and the crimes they committed as a result.
Quid pro quo. We invest and put you back in power, you kill the investigation. Epstein was murdered in prison. No one seriously believes he killed himself. Someone decided his existence was too much of a threat. Who has the power to halt surveillance, carry out a murder in a prison undetected except those with the ultimate authority?
There are more than three million pages of evidence involving the sexual exploitation, rape, and alleged murders of over a thousand underage girls and young women. These allegations reference up to one thousand influential individuals. It has been reported at least one hundred politicians and senior diplomats and nearly two hundred billionaires and corporate executives are named in the records.
Europe has emerged as the first to react to the scandal. Britain has seen the highest number of resignations so far. These include former ambassador Peter Mandelson, adviser Adam Perry, and Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s chief of staff Morgan McSweeney, who advised Starmer to appoint Mandelson. Starmer’s leadership has come under severe pressure as a result.
Slovakia’s former foreign minister Miroslav Lajcak resigned. Sweden’s senior diplomat Joanna Rubinstein and Norway’s ambassador Mona Juul were suspended pending investigations. Others implicated are former Norwegian prime minister Thorbjorn Jagland and Senior diplomat Terje Rød-Larsen. France issued a summons to its former minister Jack Lang, while Poland, Latvia and Turkey formed special investigative teams to examine claims linked to human trafficking and collusion with senior government officials.
The billionaires supporting Trump have no public pressure and can retreat behind their high walls hoping money and lawyers will keep them out of the picture. Microsoft founder Bill Gates expressed regret over meetings and correspondence with Epstein and stepped down from the board of his foundation. Formal Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak also issued a clarification after records mentioned him as having stayed at Epstein’s New York apartment.
Trump of course is the most prevalent name in the files released so far. He is mentioned 38,000 times and passenger records show Trump travelled on Epstein’s jet to the island seven time in the 1990’s - despite Trump’s denials. US House Representative Ted Lieu stated there were repeated allegations from different complainants in the files stating Trump had engaged in the rape and murder of children.
In the USA there are very few US resignations to date as the Department of Justice holds back the tide under Attorney General Trump worshipper, Pam Bondi. Only former labour secretary Alex Acosta and MIT Media Lab Chief Joichi Ito have stepped down so far. Low hanging fruit in a heavily laden tree.
So, why would Trump start a war? Who benefits?
If Trump loses the mid term elections in November 2026 his lawless defences against the Epstein revelations and his alleged crimes will crumble. Public opinion will demand a reckoning. If Trump lives that long his investors will abandon him. The billionaires who dominate the US economy will be exposed as will many other diplomats, spies, political leaders, and other members of the US establishment. This is already a constitutional crisis; it could soon become a constitutional collapse. From the Trump conspirators’ point of view, they have nothing to lose. War is preferable to exposure.
Iran will not back down if attacked, they have their own cards to play. They will halt all oil traffic through the straits of Hormuz and damage the world economy. The Arab states will become Iran’s new best friends and Israel will become very vulnerable. Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi told a forum in Tehran, Iran had little trust in Washington and doubted that the US side was taking renewed negotiations seriously. He later said Iran was consulting with its “strategic partners” China and Russia.
During the Oman talks the US and Israel wanted negotiations to go beyond the nuclear question and include Iran’s ballistic missiles and support for armed groups in the region. They want to neuter Iran on behalf of Israel. As an increase of pressure, the United States announced sanctions against more shipping companies and vessels, aimed at slowing Iran’s oil exports.
At the European security conference in Munich last week, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio took a less aggressive posture than Vice President Vance had on previous visits, but European leaders made it clear if the US attacks anyone they will be on their own. Having abused and bullied Europe for a year with threats, insults and tariffs, Trump’s USA has lost the support of its most valuable allies.
If Trump starts a war in with Iran it will be to assist his hold on power in the USA and to defend himself and his ‘investors’ from the full unredacted release of Epstein files. If he thinks it will save him, he will take his country to war.I write to fight!
Robin Horsfall
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As always Robin, a very accurate encapsulation and analysis of the current state of "global affairs". And there is precious little room for any optimism in the near to mid-term....
We live in unprecedented times but I cling to the hope that one day the towers of corruption will collapse under the weight of lies. However I will not be holding my breath. Keep the faith and keep fighting.