Two failing empires.

The world this week.

South Caucasus.

Russia is withdrawing its remaining troops from South Caucasus a region that has always been vital as a strategic connection between Russia, Europe, and nations of the old Ottoman Empire. A wall between Islam and Christianity and vital trade route from India and China. The South Caucasus provides land links between Turkey, Iran and Russia and the trade links between the Black and Caspian seas. Alternative routes for oil supplies to Europe via Turkey also affect interests in the region.

Since the times of the Soviet Union Armenia has relied on Russia to provide a security umbrella. However, in the past months Russia has reduced its military footprint in Armenia by 50% and continues to reduce numbers. The financial and manpower demands of the Ukraine war continue to reduce Russia sphere of influence. Until now, these troops controlled all Armenian border posts and air defences.

In the absence of Russian power, Armenia and Azerbaijan have made positive steps towards an improved relationship. Often played off against one another by Russia who used their long-standing enmity to hold the balance of power…