The last Russian outposts.
Crimea, Kaliningrad, and Transnistria.
Crimea is under siege and is edging closer to liberation from Russian occupation. The ‘land bridge’ that runs along the north coast of the Azov Sea is now under constant drone attack. This vital logistical supply line for Russia is littered with an endless stream of destroyed trucks and petrol tankers. Every vehicle on the road is subject to Ukrainian surveillance and attack. Ukraine still makes every effort not to strike civilian traffic but fuel and food for troops is as vital as ammunition.
On the west coast of Crimea, Ukraine has been launching attacks on shore-based Russian air defence with marine drones carrying missiles. The drones approach the shore undetected to further deplete the heavily stretched S300 and S400 sites. These attacks also create concerns within the Russian military of Ukrainian amphibious raids.
The Black Sea in the north is now a Ukrainian sea. Russia cannot operate their once dominant Black Sea Fleet. Thirty percent of the Black Sea fleet has been sunk while the remainder sits in harbour, unable to move for fear of following their comrades to the bottom of the ocean.
The Kerch ferries that were used to transport supplies the short distance from Russia to Crimea have all been sunk leaving only the Kerch Bridge road and rail link open. Kerch Bridge has been struck and damaged several times and its capacity to transport goods has been reduced. Some ask why it is still open and the logical answer is because it offers an escape route for Russian forces and civilians. Better they leave than Ukraine has to fight them.
Crimea is under siege and as the siege increases in intensity so the desire of Russians to leave will increase. The civilian population now have problems obtaining enough fuel to drive into Russia because petrol and diesel are severely rationed. Russia has stopped exporting all refined fuels for two months while Ukrainian attacks on oil refineries increase those fuel shortages.
